Tag Archives: Finance

US sports betting: What will drive future growth?

US sports betting: What will drive future growth?

H2 Gambling Capital analyses the factors that could drive ongoing growth in the US sports betting market, and whether products or new markets will play decisive roles.

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Expansion into new states

Growth in existing states

Expansion of in-play wagering

What drives gross win?

Expansion into new states

A material amount of sports betting gross win growth that H2 Gambling Capital has forecast is based on further expansion into new states.

H2 Gambling Capital forecasts US sports betting gross win to reach $23.2bn by 2030, and 57% of this growth is from states where sports betting is already legal, and 43% is from states where sports betting is expected to legalise in the coming years.

In terms of the importance of new potential states, California is by far the most important, although the recent ballot result means that H2 does not expect anything to pass in the state for at least another 4 years. By contrast, Ohio launched sports betting on 1 January 2023 with Massachusetts..

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US sports betting: Online market share

US sports betting: Online market share

H2 breaks down market share in part three of this in-depth analysis of the US sports betting market, and whether today's dominant brands will stay in pole position.

H2 Gambling Capital produces state by state, monthly online, retail and total US sports betting market share data by operator, utilising state reported data and estimates for states where data isn’t reported, as well as incorporating company reported data.

FanDuel’s dominant position

FanDuel has become the clear market leader in terms of online sports betting. While other operators may have managed to generate a similar market share of handle in some states, FanDuel’s structurally higher margin (due to a superior parlay betting product and arguably best in class risk management) has led to a substantial market share lead in terms of gross win.

While the focus is on gross win, a number of states split out promotional activity, and share of net revenue is the key metric. Looking at a state such as Pennsylvania shows..

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HKJC blasts proposal to increase football betting duty to 80%

HKJC blasts proposal to increase football betting duty to 80%

The Hong Kong Jockey Club (HKJC) has hit out at a proposal from the New People’s Party (NPP) to increase the region’s football betting duty by an additional 30%, saying the plan lacks “understanding”.

The current rate is set at 50% on net stake receipts, but the NPP proposal would increase this to 80%, which in turn would mean the HKJC would have to pay significantly more tax.

The HKJC estimated that if the duty change was to be approved, the amount it pays in tax would jump from the current HK$25.00bn (£2.58bn/€2.94bn/US$3.19bn) to HK$31.00bn, while revenue would fall from HK15.00bn to HK$9.00bn, a decline of 40%.

“It will result in a zero surplus at best or more likely a negative one, preventing the Club from making necessary investments to secure its future and from contributing to the community,” the HKJC said.

“In reality, however, consumer behaviour can be highly dynamic. Any perturbation such as a tax increase, or simply the perception of such, could easily result in a disp..

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Denmark breaks online casino revenue record as gambling grows in 2022

Denmark breaks online casino revenue record as gambling grows in 2022

Denmark saw its gambling market grow in 2022, despite a drop in sports betting.

Spillemyndigheden, the Danish gambling authority, said total gross gaming revenue (GGR) for the year to 31 December 2022 came to DKK6.70bn ($991.4m/€910.1m/£799.8m), which was up 7.5% on the DKK6.23bn recorded in the previous year.

Online casino was the largest segment, comprising DKK2.88bn, which was up 2.1% on the 2021 figure. The segment was worth DKK272.3m in December, which was the largest amount since records began in 2012, and up 3.4% on December 2021.

The second largest segment, sports betting, was down 3.6% to DKK2.32bn despite the Fifa World Cup taking place during the year. December’s GGR figure of DKK135.5bn was the lowest return since October 2021 and down 35.0% on December 2021.

Slot machines generated DKK1.15bn in 2022, which was up considerably on the Covid-impacted 2021. Some DKK99.2m was taken in December 2022, up 44.5% on the same month in 2021.

Land-based casino also saw big gains i..

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How crypto could be embedded in online betting

How crypto could be embedded in online betting

Tom Waterhouse of WaterhouseVC revisits the subject of crypto wagering, and whether it could be central to next-gen sportsbook platforms.

In May, we discussed the significant opportunity in crypto betting, which is growing gross gaming revenue (GGR) at 36.6% per annum.

Online crypto operators have a similar user experience to online fiat operators. The likes of Stake.com and Sportsbet.io already record extraordinary turnover.

White label platform solutions for crypto betting operators are leveraged to the growth of crypto wagering as a whole. This means they are not exposed to the operational and regulatory risk of a single crypto wagering business.

Global crypto wagering data for total bets and GGR. Source: Softswiss.

Existing wagering platforms

Many fiat operators rely on white label sportsbook and igaming platform solutions, such as Kambi, OpenBet and SBTech.

A selection of white label sportsbook and iGaming platforms built for fiat operators. Source: Waterhouse VC.

Howev..

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Kindred CEO: “No item is sacred” when it comes to cost-cutting

Kindred CEO: “No item is sacred” when it comes to cost-cutting

Henrik Tjärnström, CEO of Kindred, has said that “no item is sacred” in terms of cutting costs on an earnings call addressing Kindred’s Q4 trading update released earlier today (13 January).

Although Kindred’s Q4 revenue is projected to rise 24.5% year-on-year to £305.0m (€343.1m/$372.2m), Kindred said this was not up to expectations and vowed to take “immediate action”.

Addressing this, Tjärnström said that Kindred would review all areas of cost in order to improve spending for 2023, adding that no cost-cutting is off the table.

“We are looking to review all cost items for efficiency purposes and refreshing our channels for spending in 2023,” he said. “We cannot comment on the overall number at this point.

“But we’re clearly looking across the P&L [profit and loss], and no item is sacred in that sense.”

He said this was due to how vastly the Q4 revenue is set to depart from Kindred’s, and the market’s, expectations.

“We take this very seriously, and the deviation that we see fro..

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Tab NZ misses profit budget again in November

Tab NZ misses profit budget again in November

Tab NZ again fell short of its monthly profit budget in November despite surpassing its gross betting revenue (GBR) target for the month.

Tab NZ, New Zealand’s sports betting monopoly, said while major events such as football’s 2022 Fifa World Cup, horse racing’s Melbourne Cup and the NZ Trotting Cup helped it to surpass turnover and GBR levels, gross betting margin and profit missed budget.

Retail traffic continued to hold strong following the easing of Covid-19 restrictions and the overall field size across all three codes was up on the year-to-date average, other factors such as continued competitive pressure from unregulated offshore operators, reduced betting margin and lower average bet size in key customer segments impacted the figures.

Tab NZ had already warned in early December that due to it missing budgets a number of times in recent months, it would have to reduce distributions to racing codes across New Zealand by 9% for the 2022-23 financial year ending 31 July 2023.
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Nevada gambling revenue slips to $1.22bn in November

Nevada gambling revenue slips to $1.22bn in November

The Nevada Gaming Control Board (NGCB) reported a 7.6% year-on-year decline in gambling revenue for November, though statewide revenue exceeded $1.00bn (£833.8m/€946.8m) for the 21st consecutive month.

Revenue for the month amounted to $1.22bn, which was down from $1.32bn in November of 2021 and also 4.7% lower than $1.28bn in October 2022.

Slots remained the primary source of revenue in Nevada, with revenue from the machines amounting to $871.1m, up 1.3% year-on-year. Multi-denomination slot machines generated for $460.8m in revenue, with penny slots at $300.6m.

Read the full story on iGB North America.

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Winning at wagering

Winning at wagering

In his latest betting investment column, Tom Waterhouse of Waterhouse VC looks at betting syndicates. While most are closed to external investment, he says that there are emerging syndicates that represent intriguing opportunities.

In the first century, Pliny the Elder wrote: “We are so much at the mercy of chance that chance is our god.”

Before the Renaissance, chance was associated with religion and fate rather than being a well studied area of science. During the Renaissance, mathematicians developed the field of probability, the foundation of risk management used by bookmakers and professional bettors.

Source: Pinnacle.

The syndicates

While professional betting is a rarely discussed and underinvested part of the wagering industry, it is hugely important and highly cash generative.

The world’s largest betting syndicates wager billions of dollars each year by exploiting a unique “edge” across sports and horse racing. Based on publicly available information, some of the larges..

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Arizona betting handle up 49% month-on-month in September

Arizona betting handle up 49% month-on-month in September

Consumers in Arizona bet a total of $538.0m on sports during September, a 49.0% increase on the previous month.

The September figure was significantly higher than the $361.0m wagered in August and was also the third consecutive month of growth in the state.

Players spent $533.3m betting online during the month, though just $4.0m was wagered at retail sportsbook facilities in the state.

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